What happened on 2026-08-12
The storm came in below the forecast. NOAA's observed planetary K index peaked at 2.7, under the forecast peak of Kp 5.0 this brief was based on.
This event is over. For the next viewing chance, check the live 72-hour forecast for your city — conditions change every few hours.
City forecast
| City | Forecast window |
|---|---|
| Hay River | 2026-08-12, around Aug 12, 00:00 MDT |
| Rankin Inlet | 2026-08-12, around Aug 12, 00:00 MDT |
| Prince George | 2026-08-12, around Aug 12, 00:00 MDT |
| Moose Jaw | 2026-08-12, around Aug 12, 00:00 MDT |
| Swift Current | 2026-08-12, around Aug 12, 00:00 MDT |
| Thunder Bay | 2026-08-12, around Aug 12, 00:00 MDT |
| Medicine Hat | 2026-08-12, around Aug 12, 00:00 MDT |
City Aurora Scores for this Kp 5.0 event
Probabilities combine the Kp forecast with each city's visibility threshold, darkness window and cloud outlook at generation time. Live values on each city page override this snapshot.
This alert names cities because northern lights visibility differs across Canada.
Hay River is tonight's clearest Canadian option at 79%, with its best local time at Aug 12, 00:00 MDT. Rankin Inlet is the secondary option at 28%, best at Aug 12, 01:00 CDT.
Prince George is at 19%, best at Aug 11, 23:00 PDT. Moose Jaw and Swift Current are best at Aug 12, 00:00 CST; Thunder Bay at Aug 12, 02:00 EDT; Medicine Hat at Aug 12, 00:00 MDT. Each is at 19%.
What to do
- Check the live city forecast; clouds can block the view.
- Reach a dark, open location before your city's best local time.
- Use AuroraMe alerts for updates when conditions warrant.
Sources and live checks
This forecast uses the AuroraMe 72-hour city forecast, NOAA SWPC Kp, OVATION and local visibility factors.