This forecast covered the night of 2026-10-12. It stays online as a record of what was forecast. For current conditions, check the live forecast. Live aurora forecast

Canada aurora recap, Oct. 12: Kp 3.33 observed

Recap for completed 00:00–09:00 UTC intervals: Kp 1.67 was observed at 00:00–03:00, Kp 2.33 at 03:00–06:00 and Kp 3.33 at 06:00–09:00. The selected 03:00–06:00 UTC forecast was originally Kp 3.33; city cards preserve those historical forecasts.

By AuroraMe Space Weather Desk Published Oct 10, 2026, 08:16 CEST Updated Oct 12, 2026, 09:05 UTC
Completed-window recap OBSERVED

Completed 00:00–09:00 UTC intervals observed Kp 1.67, 2.33 and 3.33; Kp 3.33 is the peak within that completed window. The selected 03:00–06:00 UTC forecast was originally Kp 3.33. Historical city forecasts remain below.

Observed 00:00–03:00 UTC Kp 1.67 Completed interval; observed.
Observed 03:00–06:00 UTC Kp 2.33 Completed interval; observed.
Observed 06:00–09:00 UTC Kp 3.33 Highest value within completed 00:00–09:00 UTC only.
Selected forecast (historical) Kp 3.33 Original Kp 3.33 forecast for 03:00–06:00 UTC; city cards preserve original local times and values.
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What happened in completed 00:00–09:00 UTC intervals

00:00–03:00 UTC: the primary NOAA forecast JSON records observed Kp 1.67.

03:00–06:00 UTC: it records observed Kp 2.33, below the article’s original selected Kp 3.33 forecast for that exact slot.

06:00–09:00 UTC: it records observed Kp 3.33, above the original Kp 2.67 forecast for that slot. Kp 3.33 is the maximum within completed 00:00–09:00 UTC only; this is global planetary Kp, not a city-visibility report.

City forecast

City Forecast window
Churchill Oct. 11, 22:00–Oct. 12, 01:00 CDT — Kp 3.33
Hay River Oct. 11, 21:00–Oct. 12, 00:00 MDT — Kp 3.33
Iqaluit Oct. 11, 23:00–Oct. 12, 02:00 EDT — Kp 3.33
Fort St. John Oct. 11, 20:00–23:00 MST — Kp 3.33
Edmonton Oct. 12, 00:00–03:00 MDT — Kp 2.67
Portage la Prairie Oct. 11, 22:00–Oct. 12, 01:00 CDT — Kp 3.33
NOAA northern hemisphere aurora forecast map
AuroraMe combines NOAA's Kp outlook with local forecast factors for city forecasts.

Selected local-night outlook

Observed values for completed intervals were Kp 1.67 at 00:00–03:00 UTC, Kp 2.33 at 03:00–06:00 UTC and Kp 3.33 at 06:00–09:00 UTC.

The Kp 3.33 selected forecast at 03:00–06:00 UTC is historical. The city cards retain its original local times and values.

What to do

  1. Check the live city forecast before leaving.
  2. Check the local three-hour window, darkness and clouds.
  3. Use the NOAA outlook as a planning signal, not a visibility guarantee.

Sources and live checks

NOAA’s planetary K-index forecast was checked on October 11, 2026 at 19:18 UTC. The primary NOAA forecast JSON was checked again on October 12 at 09:00 UTC: completed records show Kp 1.67 at 00:00–03:00, 2.33 at 03:00–06:00 and 3.33 at 06:00–09:00 UTC.